Thursday, September 21, 2006

Links of the Day for 9/22/06

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This week’s links assembled as I try to stay out of prison…

  • The Twins had a chance to pass Detroit in the Central last night, but faltered in the series finale versus Boston. Johan Santana wasn’t quite himself, allowing four runs (two earned) in five innings, walking as many as he struck out (three). Even the two unearned runs can’t be excused, as they came when, in the second with runners on first and second, Alex Gonzalez attempted to bunt the runners over. Santana first tried to field and go to third, but mishandled the ball, then fired errantly to (or, more accurately, past) first.


  • No ground was lost, however. Seattle smoked Chicago, 9-0, and Detroit fell in Baltimore 4-3. Minnesota stays one-half game behind the Tigers (tied in the loss column) and five games ahead of the White Sox.


  • From this notebook: Radke has a successful bullpen session, and Gardy wants Punto back at the hot corner next year.


  • Not everyone is headed to the playoffs, of course. Jeff Sackman runs down the teams that need to blow it up and start over.


  • And finally, I leave you with the work of Minnesota’s finest poet.

Links of the Day for 9/20/06

Powered by Intern Snarky and the Twins Geek

If you haven't done so already, you may stop by twins.mlb.com to buy your twins playoffs tickets. They're still available and cheaper than an "I'm sorry" baseball from Pete Rose. Which piece of baseball history would you rather own?

An article in the Strib earlier today suggested that you try the phone rather than the internet. If you're phonephobic like me, you picked up your tickets on the internet. The Strip article reported waits between 70-90 minutes to get the tickets online, although mine was more like 15 at 11:00 Wednesday morning. I'd be curious if you face similar waits online, please post your experience in the comments.

The Twins get back to working on that magic number today at the Fenway. The legendary baseball columnist, Peter Gammons, was in attendance last night for the first time since his aneurysm in June. Stop by espn.com and read his column- it tells the tail of his near death experience and breaks down the trade-deadline moves. You know, the important stuff.

If you need a pick me up, check out this article by Dan Shaughnessy in the Boston Globe. It praises the Twins, their front office, and the people state of Minnesota. From the article:
"They play in the image of the people who live in the Twin Cities. They are honest and hard-working and they give you a lot for your money." I appreciate his comments, but I am a Minnesotan and am neither honest nor hardworking. I will give you a lot for your money though.

A post on Si.com continued fueling America's obsession with the home life our own Mauer and Morneau, check it out . Is that a dome dog in their fridge? Aside from the oddly placed bold font, the article contains all sorts of invaluable information. Did you know that they keep Goose Island (oatmeal?) Stout in their fridge while they have Bud Light in a soda machine? How intriguing! Who do you think drinks which? I'm guessing the Canuck drinks the stout.

Finally, with the playoffs approaching, there's all kinds of coverage that you wouldn't expect. Front and center yesterday was City Pages, who has four - count 'em FOUR - stories on the Twins, including interviews with Terry Ryan and Mike Ratcliffe. In-depth stories by solid writers with access to the big guys? Read, schmead. I'm gonna digest those puppies.

Tuesday, September 19, 2006

The 2007 GM Cheat Sheet

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Who else is going to give you your very own major league franchise for just $1.50? Only GameDay, that’s who. Terry Ryan and Carl Pohlad, eat your heart out.

Your mission (impossible), should you choose to accept it, is to create a competitive team for 2007 while keeping the total payroll under $67 million (a pretty realistic guess as to next year’s total).

We’ll get you started. We’ll fill in most of the blanks with players who will likely be back, including listing their approximate salaries, along with some assumptions, in case you want to challenge any of the core positions.

Below that, we’ll list the positions where there will be more debate, and list some of the players (and how much they cost) for each of them. You can build your team, and compare it to how Ryan does this offseason – just make sure it comes in under $67 million. (Or figure out how you’re going to get Carl to part with more.) So get those sharpened #2 pencils ready, and let’s build the 2007 Twins.


The Core
Lineup






Role
Player
$M
C
Joe Mauer$ 3.50
1B
Justin Morneau$ 2.50
2B
Luis Castillo$ 5.75
SS
Jason Bartlett$ 0.40
3B
Nick Punto$ 2.50
RF
Michael Cuddyer$ 4.00
Other
Torii Hunter's Buyout$ 2.50

The numbers for a lot of these players are wide estimates, since Mauer, Morneau, Cuddyer and Punto are all eligible for arbitration. Castillo is under contract, so he’s absolutely back. We’re also including Hunter’s $2.5 million buyout, since he gets that whether you keep him or not. That leaves center field, left field, and designated hitter for you to play with, and we’ve spent $21.15 million.
Starting Pitching


Starter 1
Johan Santana$ 12.00
Starter 2
Francisco Liriano$ 0.40
Starter 3
Scott Baker or
Boof Bonser or
Matt Garza
$ 0.40

We’ll assume Brad Radke retires and that Liriano comes back healthy. Also that the Twins have enough faith in one of the three younger pitchers to count on them for a rotation spot next year. That leaves two spots open, and our total now is at $33.95 million.

Bench

BKUP MI
Luis Rodriguez$ 0.40
BKUP C
Mike Redmond$ 1.25

Redmond’s under contract (though terms haven’t been released) and we’ll assume Rodriguez comes back as a middle infielder. That leaves at least two spots open that can be filled with veterans or farm players, and just a small bump to $35.6 million.

Bullpen





Closer
Joe Nathan$ 5.25
RH Setup
Juan Rincon$ 1.50
LH Setup
Dennys Reyes$ 1.00
MR
Jesse Crain$ 0.40
MR
Pat Neshek$ 0.40
Long MR
Willie Eyre or
Matt Guerrier
$ 0.40

Now that Reyes is in the fold, the only assumption we have to make is that the Twins will offer Rincon arbitration. We’ll also assume six bullpen spots for now, but if you’re attached to Eyre and Guerrier, you can bring one back as the 25th man. Our final tally is $42.75 million….

Summary
You’re 2/3 of the way there! Seventeen of the 25 roster spots are spoken for, and $42.75 million is spent. That leaves $24.25 million to fill eight spots. Let’s see how you want to spend it…..


The Options









PositionName
$
Options
CF¨ You can pick up Hunter's option year for an additional $9.5M
¨ You can offer Lew Ford arbitration for approximately $750,000
¨ You can offer Jason Tyner arbitration for approximately $1 million.
¨ A lower tier free agent, like Kenny Lofton, can probably be bought for ~$2M.
LF¨ If you trust Jason Kubel's knees, he can play here for $400,000.
¨ You can offer Lew Ford arbitration for approximately $750,000
¨ You can offer Jason Tyner arbitration for approximately $1 million.
¨ Carlos Lee or Rafael Soriano could be available for around $13 million.
DH¨ If you don't trust Jason Kubel's knees, he can play here for $400,000.
¨ It's doubtful a premiere free agent will sign to play DH, but you could target one and more the current player to the DH spot.
¨ Or acquire a mid level free agent for $2-5 million. Dmitri Young & Frank Thomas top the list.
4th starter¨ Carlos Silva's option can be picked up for ~$4M
¨ One of Bonser/Baker/Garza will cost about $400,000.
¨ Best free agents are probably Barry Zito, Jason Schmidt and Mark Mulder, who might be available for around $10M.
¨ Mid level free agents include Greg Maddux and Tom Glavine, for around $5M.
5th startersee above
backup IF¨ A veteran free agent can probably be lured for a little less than $1M.
¨ A farm player, like Terry Tiffee, can fill the role for around $400,000.
4th OF¨ You can offer Lew Ford arbitration for approximately $750,000.
¨ You can offer Jason Tyner arbitration for approximately $1 million.
¨ Josh Rabe could be kept for about $400,000.
¨ A veteran free agent will cost about $1M
25th spot¨ If you want to keep Guerrrier AND Eyre, one will take this spot for about $400,000.
¨ A veteran bat will cost a little less than $1M.
¨ Another middle infielder or 5th outfielder from Rochester costs $400,000.
TOTAL$Remember, it needs to be under $24.25 M unless you’re going to start searching the cushions of Carl’s couch.

How’d you do? Got that backup center fielder and shortstop you need? How about the left-handed bat off the bench your manager wants? Did you add power? Are you relying on young pitching? And, most importantly, is your boss going to be happy with how much you spent?

Yes, all around? Great. Now let Terry Ryan know, since he’ll be undergoing the same exercise in about month…

Monday, September 18, 2006

Powered by Intern Thomas

“To be, or not to be:
that is the question:
Whether 'tis nobler in the mind to suffer
The slings and arrows of outrageous fortune,
Or to take arms against a sea of troubles,
And by opposing end them?”
-Hamlet

So what’s your answer? Suffer the Slings and Arrows of a seven game series with the Yankees? Or perhaps, you prefer to take arms and by opposing, end the Yankees dominance over the Twins in the divisional round? Do you believe the Twins will win all three starts from Johan in the ALCS against the Yankees, or would they be more likely to win his two ALDS starts against them? Would you rather watch some combination of Boof, Garza, Silva and Baker have four opportunities to win one game against that lineup, or three?

If I were you, I’d decide quickly, because your decision will effect who you are rooting for in the huge three game series between the Tigers and White Sox starting tonight. Do you agree with Aaron Gleeman that the Twins have the Wild Card all but locked up, and thus, should hope the Tigers lose, allowing the Twins to possibly overtake them, guaranteeing they won’t see the Yankees until the ALCS? Or are you a more conservative sort, pulling for the Tigers like Mr. Baseball No. 1, and willing to trade a possible division lead for an almost guaranteed wild card spot, and a shorter series against the Evil Empire?

Or are you like me, and hate Ozzie’s hare brained antics, A.J.’s obnoxiousness and the general bitchiness of the organization and its fans so much you’d rather root for the Yankees than the White Sox? Or are so confused at my forced attempt to shoehorn Shakespeare into my post that you don’t really care who wins anymore?

Personally, I think the Twins have a better shot at winning the ALDS than the ALCS against the Yankees. The shorter the series, the less chances that talented lineup will have. Keep the sample small, and there’s less opportunity for the more talented team to differentiate itself.

So now that we’ve cleared that up, it’s time for some quick links:

  • Ever wonder what it’s like to go through Rookie Hazing? Well, luckily for you, Pat Neshek wrote about his experience.


  • Apparently, some more White Sox fans have given up on the season. Hopefully, they don’t feel it necessary to attempt to climb back on the bandwagon.


  • Baseball Tonight used to be my favorite show on television. Nowadays, I rarely even watch it, let alone plan my evenings around it. If you need to know why, CMathewson has some pretty good reasons.


  • Finally, if you’re wondering, after last night's game, the Twins Magic Number for the Wild Card is 9. Any losses by the White Sox or wins by the Twins over the final 13 games will bring the Twins that much closer to the playoffs.

Sunday, September 17, 2006

Links of the Day for 9/18/06

Powered by Intern Sam

Hmm. Apparently, the Oakland Athletics do not enjoy losing on the road. In fact, it apparently makes them so gosh-darned mad that they return home with cold hard steely determination in their hearts to make their next opponent suffer as they have just been made to suffer. This suits the Twins just fine, as the Mighty Mighty Elephants spent the weekend laying waste to Ozzie’s boys at the Coliseum, even as the Twins pulled out a somewhat improbable 3-for-4 in Cleveland.

Your standings as the sun rises Monday morning: Minnesota sits one game back of the Tigers, and a previously unthinkable four games ahead of Chicago for the wild card. Better yet, Detroit and Chicago will spend the next three days beating each other up as the Twins take their last breather of the season and head for a three-game set with the sputtering Red Sox.

  • Speaking of the A’s, they continue to be exceedingly unhappy with their ballpark, and this weekend, they broke off negotiations for an extension of their lease. It’s no secret in the Bay Area that, if the team can’t get a new ballpark soon in Alameda County, they’re interested in moving down the road a piece to Silicon Valley, where they would become known as the San Jose IT Nerds.


  • Full disclosure: one factoid in the above item may not, technically, be true.


  • Going back to Sunday’s decisive 6-1 Twins victory in Cleveland, Intern Sam found it very hard to know what to make of Scott Baker’s performance. He certainly didn’t look good, in the sense of having dominant stuff, or in the sense of consistently hitting his spots, or in the sense of making a lot of hitters look foolish. But, um, he gave up one measly run and won a game his team wanted desperately to win. Not trying to stir anything up here. Just suggesting that if I were a manager or GM of a major league team trying to get its rotation set for the playoffs, I would have no idea how to interpret Baker’s Sunday line, or how to use it to measure his possible future usefulness.


  • When the Twins hit Fenway Park this Tuesday, they won’t have to worry about facing rookie sensation Jonathan Papelbon in the ninth inning. Actually, they may not have to ever worry about facing him in the ninth again. The Sox closer, who is a near shoo-in for AL Rookie of the Year, is done for the season and says that he expects to be in the starting rotation when 2007 opens.


  • Boston may have fallen well out of contention in the last few weeks, but the Twins certainly aren’t foolish enough to look past this series. Sox knuckleballer Tim Wakefield has frequently hypnotized Minnesota hitters in the past (though not this season – he gave up four runs in 6 innings to Minnesota for a loss back in June); Boof Bonser, as well as he’s pitched lately, is no match for even a diminished Curt Schilling on paper (yes, yes, games aren’t played on paper); and of course, a trip to Fenway Park was arguably the final nail in the Twins’ coffin last season, when Torii Hunter broke his ankle and the last of the air seemed to come out of the ’05 squad. None of this is meant to suggest that the Twins shouldn’t be able to take this series. It’s just meant to say that for all the perennial talk about the mystique of Yankee Stadium, there may not be a tougher place than Fenway for a visiting team to come away with a solid series win. (Especially when Neil Diamond is really on his game…)

  • There’s certainly no love lost between sports bloggers and the mainstream sports press, especially in Minnesota, where our plethora of substandard columnists often overshadows the generally strong work turned in by many of the beat writers for both major dailies. But for Intern Sam’s money, all the Souhan and Sid blather in the world can’t dull the shine of a really good Patrick Reusse column.

    Reusse comes in for no small amount of criticism around these parts, mainly because he’s a cranky old coot who spends a lot of time appearing on talk radio and does not suffer fools gladly. But in an era when most sportswriters seem unaware that good, evocative writing is a part of their job description, Reusse continues to turn in some of the most artfully written reports to be found anywhere in America.

    His roundup column after Saturday’s victory was a case in point – no offhanded speculation, no silly attempt to create a storyline where there was none, just a well-written description of what happened on the field and in the manager’s office after the game. And in the process, we even got to read the real story regarding why Glen Perkins was suddenly called up after days of hearing that it would be someone else. That, people, is journalism, and it’s why we still need the old ink-stained wretches around.


  • ESPN’s lack of even-handedness in choosing which teams to put on its air is well established at this point. (The latest bit of evidence: the national airing of Sunday’s 863rd Yankees/Red Sox matchup of 2006 despite the total lack of any playoff implications at all on a day when at least five other games were full to bursting with playoff storylines.) As many have argued, ESPN is a business, not a public service, and there are Yankee and Sox fans everywhere, so why shouldn’t they air what more people want to see? (It’s a fair point, and lest anyone think this debate is confined to American baseball, go ask a Canadian from Alberta or Ottawa how they feel about Hockey Night in Canada’s game selection.)


  • But ESPN is also a news-gathering organization, and over the last few years, the anchors and reporters who are supposed to cover the entire American sporting world have clearly been told in no uncertain terms that the news they report should reflect the business interests of the company first and foremost. In case anyone was still in doubt as to the way ESPN handles its journalistic decisions in the SportsCenter newsroom, Fynal Cut has you covered.

  • Over in the Ozzie Guillen Is Batshit Crazy file, his Ozness apparently threw a fit this weekend upon learning that the A’s have banned alcohol from their clubhouses. On the one hand, you would suppose that the White Sox would have bigger problems to worry about at the moment. On the other hand, after the weekend they just had, wouldn’t you want a drink?


  • Finally, Intern Sam knows that the National League might as well be playing its games in Guam as far as most AL fans are concerned, but he feels compelled to report, nonetheless, that the Philadelphia Phillies (with apologies to Cubs fans, the worst team in NL history) are in serious danger of actually making the playoffs for the first time since 1993. (You remember that year, right? It was the one with John Kruk! And Lenny Dykstra! And gritty, gutty Darren Daulton! And, um… mitchwilliamsandjoecarter. yeah. so. forget we said anything.)

    More than that, the Phightin’ Phils actually have a player on the verge on hitting 61 home runs, and while it’s true that 61 isn’t the actual record anymore, it’s probably still the record for players not taking horse pills, so that’s gotta be worth something. Anyway, the Phils’ late surge sets up the possibility, however remote, that Minnesota and Philadelphia could meet in the World Series, in which case at least two members of the GameDay online family would spontaneously combust. Just so you’re all warned…

Thursday, September 14, 2006

What Lasts

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Most people look back on high school as – well - memorable anyways. Whether you were a jock, dweeb, waistoid, farm boy, party girl, motorhead, brain, fry or geek, you probably have some deeply ingrained memories. Whether you want to or not.

Baseball is the same way. It cuts across social groups, plays with your emotions and imprints its moments in your memory. It also has a less desirable similarity – the popularity contest. Otherwise known as the MVP vote.

Remember when the class valedictorian lost the class presidential vote to the homecoming king? You didn’t bat an eye. You knew it was a popularity contest that was decided long before the election.

The MVP isn’t much different. The history of the award suggests that the sports writers often act like they are still in high school, which is weird, because I suspect a lot of them wouldn’t want to relive it. So it shouldn’t be a surprise that the media has anointed Derek Jeter (the totally dreamy prom date) as MVP over the Canadian exchange student or our hometown boy. After all, our guys are really only sophomores.

So fight the fight, if you must, but understand that this is likely going the way of that student council election. You’ll need to shrug it off, kibitz with your friends in study hall and savor what you can of the memories. They’re what lasts, anyways.

Links of the Day for 9/14/06

Powered by Intern Snarkey

Today's loss left the Twins fans with a Silva-esque upset stomach. I didn't see the game, but the folks over at Twinkietown have been said that the outcome could have been different if not for a blown call. Of course, what really has us really upset is that popping sound coming from F-bomb's elbow. Thinking about that sound gives me the willies. Even without results from the MRI, Gardenhire is saying F-bomb's season is done.

Call me superstitious, but I always notice that bad news comes to my favorite team as soon as the national media gives them glowering praise. I saw this injury coming the moment Tom Verducci at SI.com published his article calling the Twin's the team to beat with the addition of Liriano.

Now that Big Ten football has begun making plans to change the schedule for the Twins future playoff run, I'm convinced more bad news is on the way. Was the losing of a coin toss (and home field advantage) to the White Sox an omen of things to come of a future playoff game or am I off my rocker? The good news is that we've been playing pretty good ball without Liriano and we got an excellent performance from Garza today. I'll leave it on that up note. Bring on Cleveland!

Tuesday, September 12, 2006

Wow!

How Francisco Liriano saved the Twins' 2006 season, regardless of their final record.

Powered by Kyle Eliason (and published in September's GameDay)

It was the morning of May 19th. The Twins had won just 17 of their first 41 games and there was no joy in Mudville... or Minneapolis. Nothing was working for the Twins.

Some of what ailed the hometown nine could not have been foreseen. No one expected Rondell White and Carlos Silva to be world-beaters, but no one expected either to fall off the face of the Earth. Kyle Lohse was overpaid for a backend starter, but not even his harshest critics expected an 8.92 earned run average through his first eight starts. Then there were the cancers seemingly everyone but the Twins could diagnose in advance.

General manager Terry Ryan and skipper Ron Gardenhire wanted "proven veterans" to shore up the left side of the infield. Unfortunately, in third baseman Tony Batista and futility infielder Juan Castro, Twins' management got what they wanted: two veterans who had already proven they weren't good enough to be major league regulars.

Batista was run out of town by a Japanese team looking to make room for a young prospect before signing with the Twins, and Castro hadn't been able to hold onto a starting job in the eleven seasons prior to 2006. Batista didn't do anything well. The Twins labeled him a more "reliable" defender at third base, but the only thing Batista did reliably was roll onto his stomach in lieu of diving while ground balls trickled into left field. Castro coasted by on his defensive reputation but did not perform as advertised and kept Jason Bartlett down on the farm to hit .300 in Triple-A for the third consecutive season. Worst of all, the pitcher many thought the third best on the team behind Cy Young winner Johan Santana and ace stopper Joe Nathan was throwing middle relief.

Losing is a part of baseball. The best teams in the league are going to lose one out of three contests. It's easier to root for a team when they're winning, but there are still people who attend Royals games. If the local squad just doesn't have the talent to contend, fans don't have to root for them to win the division. They can root for their favorite team just to win their next game. If that doesn't work there's always the next night.

What makes cheering for a team all but impossible is the feeling that they're shooting themselves in the foot. That regardless of their ultimate ceiling, they're not trying to reach it. As the Twins slid further and farther back in the standings, that feeling was growing, resulting in frustration and disinterest. Then, on the afternoon of May 19th, things began to change.

The Twins called on rookie Francisco Liriano to end a five game losing streak and perched him atop the mound to open their three game series in Milwaukee. It was long overdue. Starters Radke, Silva, Lohse and Baker were not living up to expectations, but Liriano would. Five innings, five strikeouts and one earned run later, Twins' fans had something worth following: the wunderkind lefty with the 90 m.p.h. slider would be chewing up the best hitters in the world on a regular basis.

A week later Liriano would make the season’s first start at home. For a fourth place team the stage couldn't have been bigger. The Twins sent their phenom to the hill and the Mariners sent theirs: 20-year old Venezuelan fireballer Felix Hernandez. The future of pitching was on display for all to see and it was the Twins prodigy who would establish himself as the most promising arm in baseball. Throwing five scoreless innings and fanning six Mariners, Liriano out-dueled King Felix in a 3-0 win.

Upon inserting Liriano into the starting rotation the Twins would win a major league best 42-of-59 games. Other young players did their parts, too. Bartlett finally resurfaced from Triple-A and gave the Twins better defense at shortstop, to say nothing of his knowing which end of the bat to hold. Justin Morneau became the middle-of-the order threat Twins fans had hoped. Nick Punto began doing his best Luis Castillo impression upon taking over the third base duties. The Twins were cruising and closing in on both division leaders Detroit and the wildcard, but on July 28th, although no one knew it at the time, one of the wheels fell off.

At 12-3, Liriano took the mound against the division leading Tigers to defend his league leading earned run average. He threw eight innings of three-hit ball and tied a career high with 12 strikeouts in a game. But all was not well. In addition to getting a no decision in a game the Twins went on to lose in extra innings, Liriano was scratched from his next start with the ominous diagnosis of soreness in his left forearm. Team officials reassured the press that it was nothing major and Liriano would only miss one start.

On August 7th Liriano would again face the Tigers, but it was clear he wasn't healthy. He allowed ten hits and four runs before being chased from the game after the fourth inning. After the game it was reiterated that Liriano had a muscular problem and that nothing was wrong with his surgically repaired elbow. The Twins were going to hold him out of action and run some precautionary tests, waiting until the swelling in his arm went down before performing an MRI.

Twins nation collectively held its breath. Much of the Twins success was driven by the best one-two punch in the majors: the left-handed tandem of Santana and Liriano. The Twins, who still had ground to gain to capture either the wildcard or division crown could ill-afford to lose Liriano, arguably the team's best pitcher this season. As gloomy as the situation seemed, at least fans were holding their breath. Two months earlier very few in Twins Territory would have batted an eye and most would have been, as ESPN personality Tony Kornheiser said, "waiting for sex-boat season."

Then news broke. Much of it was good. The MRI had revealed an "abnormality" in Liriano's elbow, but it was only scarring, far from a new tear. Liriano was tearing apart the weakened portion of his once-injured and healed ulnar collateral ligament. The pain he felt caused him to alter his mechanics leading to cascade injuries, first in his forearm, then in his shoulder. Tendonitis resulted in that shoulder resulting in the Twins putting Liriano on a shoulder-strengthening program prior to any throwing program, which is where things currently stand.

How soon Liriano is back is anyone's guess, but how well the Twins hold up in his absence will be as important a factor as Liriano's health. If they're out of the race in mid-September, Twins fans probably won't see Liriano again until 2007.

Santana and Nathan are their ever-dominant selves. Hunter is back from the disabled list. Radke, in his swan song, is pitching through a torn shoulder on cortisone and guts. Mauer, Morneau, Cuddyer, and Punto are having career years and new hitting coach Joe Varva has the Twins leading the majors in batting average. It might be enough to contend. If rookie flamethrower Matt Garza can bury his jitters and start throwing his breaking stuff for strikes to compliment his 97 m.p.h. fastball, he may be able to fill part of the hole Liriano's departure from the rotation created.

But even if the Twins fall short, even if Liriano never sets foot on the field again this year, the 22 year-old rookie did something that might be more important than winning a division. He gave fans a reason to follow the Twins again.

For a little over two months Liriano dominated the major leagues. The numbers speak for themselves: 11 wins to three losses in just 15 starts, 110 punchouts to 89 base runners in 97 2/3 innings, a phenomenal 1.96 earned run average as a starter, and an All-Star selection. Liriano picked up the team when the fans needed it most and made every start an event. The Twins turned their season around and fans came back to the ballpark, all thanks to Liriano's golden left arm. Not bad for a player who was once a throw-in when trading away AJ Pierzynski.

Kyle Eliason would like to use this space to recognize Chris Vallancourt of Massachusetts who had the foresight to draft Francisco Liriano as early as the fifth round in the writer's fantasy baseball league.

Monday, September 11, 2006

Dugout Splinter - Oakand Athletics

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Published this week in GameDay, and republished so the last line can prove, once and for all, that I'm an idiot.

Long September
The Bay area seems fond of grand juries investigating baseball. Can someone please investigate what the hell this team does over the All-Star break? The A’s have been unstoppable since the All-Star break – again. Last year they went 32-14 from the All-Star break through August. The year before that they were 31-14. They were 35-13 in 2002. 32-13 this year is practically yawn-inducing.

This year’s streak has led some to suggest the AL West race is over. What hasn’t been as widely reported (at least nationally) is that September hasn’t been particularly kind to this franchise. Over the last two years, the Athletics have slumped in September, which essentially cost them postseason appearances. There are similar concerns this year, since the Athletics are only 5-4 in their first nine games of the month.

That may not sound like cause for concern, but consider that they’ve had home series versus the Rangers and Orioles, and a road series versus the Devil Rays. Now comes the hard part. This series begins a 10 game set versus the AL Central, though they get to host series versus the White Sox and Indians. Following that, seven of their last ten games are versus the Angels, who are lurking just 5.5 games behind them in the AL West.

What’s Working
A team’s that won twice as many games as it has lost since the All-Star break obviously has some things working…

Billy Bean’s Offseason Deals - This winter, in true Moneyball fashion, the Athletics tried to exploit a perceived market inefficiency – obtaining talented “clubhouse cancers”. First they traded for Milton Bradley, (yes, that’s his real name.) who had been traded by the Indians and the Dodgers despite being a center fielder with speed and power entering the prime of his career. He missed a good chunk of the season with an injury, but when healthy he’s been the Athletics third best hitter.

The biggest offseason gamble was signing Frank Thomas, who wasn’t just a clubhouse cancer, he was an injured (and fragile) clubhouse cancer. He also hasn’t stayed healthy the entire year, but he’s batted enough to qualify for the end-of-year awards, which makes him a leading candidate for “Comeback Player of the Year”. Heck, with 35 home runs and 97 RBI in this anemic lineup, you could make a decent case for MVP. Best of all for the cash-strapped Athletics, he was only guaranteed $500,000 this year, though he’ll likely make almost $3 million when all his incentive bonuses are paid. That’s still a bargain for his production.

Youth - Oakland’s other power source has been second year player Nick Swisher. Swisher had a monster April and May, but has slipped significantly since then, and is only batting .248 since the All-Star break. But his 31 home runs and 85 RBI are second on the club, and at just 25 years old, he looks to be a productive player whom Oakland can count on in the future.

The Defense – Oakland’s reputation is that of a softball team, going back to the Bash Brothers and continuing through the Giambi Brothers. That’s too bad, because this team is the polar opposite of that perception. They now live on pitching and defense, and if you think that’s playing the game “the right way,” you’ll love this team.

I’d like to spout some statistics about how fantastic Oakland’s defense is, but the statistics that are usually cited are mostly worthless, and the statistics that might be more useful are both obscure and lack obvious value. Nevertheless, in their May visit, they were clearly the best defensive team to come through the Metrodome this year. Watch and judge for yourself.

The Bullpen – Everyone is wondering how the Athletics ran away with the AL West. The answer is their bullpen. Barry Zito is one of the most highly regarded starting pitchers in baseball, and he leads the Athletics rotation in ERA. But there are six members of the Athletics bullpen who have ERAs lower than him.

Closer and 2005 Rookie of the Year Huston Street (30 saves, 3.17 ERA) is returning from a groin injury, but his replacement, Justin Duscherer (3.19 ERA) saved eight games in his absence and will now return to the eighth inning setup role. Pitching in front of them is Kiko Calero, whose 3.12 ERA is lower than either one of them. In less critical roles are guys like Ron Flores (2.96 ERA), Chad Gaudin (2.48 ERA) and Joe Kennedy (1.11 ERA). If you’re someone who likes to beat the traffic, you can feel pretty comfortable that the score won’t change much after the sixth inning in this series.

ON THE HILL

Oakland: Kirk Saarloos (7-7, 4.68 ERA)

  • 2006:109.2 IP, 130 H, 38 K, 45 BB, 17HR

  • 2005:10-9, 4.17 ERA, 159.2 IP, 53 K

  • Q: How can a right-hander who can’t strike people out and has questionable control survive as a starter in this league, let alone have a respectable 4.68 ERA?

  • A: He keeps that ball down. Way down. Saarloos is an extreme groundball pitcher, getting twice as many ground balls as fly balls this season.

  • He’s also induced 23 double plays this year, which ranks him fifth in the American League, despite having 35 fewer innings pitched than anyone above him.


Tuesday: Matt Guerrier (0-0, 3.04 ERA)

  • 2005: 0-3, 71.2 IP, 46 K, 3.39 ERA

  • 2006: 53.1 IP, 62 H, 29 K, 17 BB, 5 HR

  • We know Guerrier as a middle reliever, but he started 80 games in AAA before being called up. His record was 23-29 with a 3.99 ERA, and 348 K in 487.2 innings.

  • Guerrier is the lucky recipient of the decision to protect Scott Baker by placing him in the bullpen. With Liriano returning, it isn’t clear whether the Twins view this as a one time start, or whether he’ll get some more opportunities as the season continues. That may depend as much on how Silva pitches on Monday as how Guerrier pitches on Tuesday.

  • In his career, he’s pitched in 85 games, most of them in long relief, and still doesn’t have a win. This would be a nice time for it.

Sunday, September 10, 2006

Links of the Day for 9/11/06

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Well, so much for the offensive drought! Thanks to a couple of outstanding pitching performances from Boof Bonser and Johan Santana (and an important assist from Cleveland’s Victor Martinez,) the Twins finished the weekend in firm control of their own playoff destiny, a game and a half in front of the White Sox, and only two games off the division lead.

Jim Leyland’s voodoo no longer seems to be working on the Tigers, who now look more like the team everyone thought they would be in 2006: a scrappy bunch of youngsters capable of beating anyone, but unlikely to do it very regularly. Dropping three in a row to the Twins after winning the series opener had to be a crushing blow, particularly when at least one of the games (Saturday) looked eminently winnable for the Tigers. Still, Detroit has an easier remaining schedule than either the Twins or the Sox, so it’s definitely too early to start writing their obituary.

  • In case you missed it, Liriano’s rehab start in Scranton, Pennsylvania went off without a hitch Saturday night, and he’s scheduled to start Wednesday against the A’s.


  • This Tuesday, Matt Guerrier will become the Twins’ 10th different starting pitcher of 2006, replacing Scott Baker in the rotation. Baker will get some work out of the bullpen, but as long as the pennant race stays tight, he probably won’t be seen in too many important situations.


  • Next weekend’s series at Cleveland just got a little less scary with the news that Travis Hafner is out for the season with a broken right hand. From an objective fan’s perspective, this is really a shame, since Pronk was having an outstanding season, and had an outside chance to lead the league in homers and RBI. While he may make Twins’ fans shudder, it’s hard to think of many hitters who are more entertaining to watch than Hafner.


  • Carlos Silva may have made nice with his teammates, but the PiPress’s two-headed baseball monster still hasn’t forgiven him for his early exit last week. Jason Williams suggests that, for the Twins to reach the playoffs, Silva will need to begin emulating Brad Radke, who, for all his shortcomings, was winning crucial games in August while pitching with a broken shoulder.


  • The Twins aren’t the only team in the playoff race dealing with injuries. Down in Chicago, Joe Crede’s got a bad back, Bobby Jenks may or may not have a hip injury, and Ozzie Guillen’s gotta be working on a pretty good-sized ulcer right about now…


  • Who says Carl Pohlad is the worst owner in baseball? People who haven’t met Jeffrey Loria, that’s who…


  • LaVelle Neal has a handy roundup of the top prospects in the Twins’ system, as well as a quick assessment of their individual strengths and weaknesses. Among other interesting notes is Neal’s report on shortstop Alexi Casilla, the only position player in the top five…


  • Venezuela is the new Dominican Republic as far as baseball talent is concerned, and Gordon Wittenmeyer is on the story.


  • A-Rod is really having a tough year…

Friday, September 08, 2006

Links of the Day for 9/8/06

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After a week’s hiatus spent reentering the world of higher education, I return to clean out the tubes. I’m sure you missed me terribly, and I promise I’ll control my language.


  • The Twins dropped the opener against Detroit on Thursday, 7-2. Baker took a beating, and the bats remained silent against the glory that is Justin Verlander. Cuddyer did add his ninety-third RBI on a solo homer in the 7th, so SBG has some updating to do.


  • I do admit to slightly jumping the gun on the writing of these links (work beckons), but at the moment the White Sox are down 8-1 in the ninth to Cleveland. I’m going to assume no ground will be lost there, and the Twins lead will remain at one-half game (one in the loss column).


  • It appears that the F-Bomb will be manning up and rejoining the Twins’ rotation sooner than later. Liriano will be making a rehab start on Saturday, and his next turn could be taken on a big-league mound. I don’t need to tell you how important this is.


  • Maybe Francisco’s return will balance out the performance of The Giant Silva. You never know when he might get another tummy-ache.


  • Don’t worry. If this broadcasting thing doesn’t work out for Bert, he’s got other options.


  • Maybe the Target Center will start selling gyros.

Thursday, September 07, 2006

Who is the MVP?

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One of the hot topics in the Yankees series was the American League’s MVP candidates, since three of them were playing in front of the New York media. A similarly hot topic was whether a bias towards Yankees and Red Sox exist, in large part because a certain worldwide sports network is located in Connecticut. Are the Twins (or White Sox, for that matter) being short-changed? Let’s try and put homerism aside and take a look at the two groups of candidates this year:

The Sluggers
They don’t bring much to the party defensively, but they also bring bats big enough to make piñatas wish they could give up their candy prematurely. Here are their numbers (as of 9/5), with the leaders highlighted:







PlayerTeam
AB
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS
RBI
Justin MorneauMIN
491
0.318
0.400
0.578
0.978
114
Jermaine DyeCHW
463
0.326
0.392
0.641
1.033
107
Jim ThomeCHW
421
0.292
0.414
0.615
1.029
95
Manny RamirezBOS
432
0.326
0.444
0.630
1.074
100
David OrtizBOS
487
0.285
0.400
0.630
1.030
121
Travis HafnerCLE
454
0.308
0.439
0.659
1.098
117


If there’s a clear winner on this list, I don’t see him. Travis Hafner has the highest on-base percentage (OBP) and on-base plus slugging percentage (OPS), but the Indians could probably have finished in fourth place with or without him. Manny Ramirez is never mentioned as a candidate, but he leads the league in slugging. Jermaine Dye has had a tremendous year, but only leads in batting average.

Lots of folks discount RBI as a performance metric, but to some extent it shows a player who is taking advantage of his opportunities. That also fits David Ortiz’s reputation, and he still leads the league, despite his recent absence. Justin Morneau doesn’t lead in anything, but certainly belongs in the debate. He’s definitely a notch below the rest in power.

You can flip a coin between these guys, and fortunately, there are still three weeks left for the race to be decided. Currently, I’d place Big Papi ahead of the field by a nose, just because the Red Sox would never have been in the playoff race without him. Morneau, Dye and Manny would be next, with Morneau having a slight lead, just because he doesn’t have as much help in the lineup, and is probably more valuable to his team. But there’s another group of players that also deserve consideration.

The Players
These guys are valuable because of what they contribute both offensively and defensively. The list is a little shorter, but no less impressive:





PlayerTeamPos
AB
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS
RBI
Vernon WellsTORCF
522
0.316
0.370
0.575
0.945
93
Grady SizemoreCLECF
554
0.296
0.378
0.536
0.914
63
Joe MauerMINC
442
0.346
0.427
0.498
0.925
73
Derek JeterNYYSS
529
0.344
0.421
0.486
0.907
84


If the race really was between Joe Mauer and Derek Jeter, it might as well be a dead heat, depending on what you think of Jeter’s defensive value. In my mind, it’s a race for second place, because Vernon Wells is having more of an impact than either Mauer or Jeter, while playing center field for the Blue Jays, who have been on the fringes of the playoff race for most of the year.

There’s room for disagreement, even if there were not three weeks left. As of now, there is no clear cut winner, and it would be hard to claim that any player is being disrespected by not being handed the award prematurely. In fact, the only disservice that can be done at this point is not including all of these players in the debate.

On The Hill

Detroit: Wilfredo Ledezma (2-2, 2.38 ERA)
  • 2005: 2-4, 49.2 IP, 30 K, 7.07 ERA

  • 2006: 41.2 IP, 34 H, 29K, 17 BB, HR

  • Detroit’s playing match-ups with their last spot in the rotation, and Ledezma gets the draw versus Minnesota because he’s left-handed. You gotta love Leyland.


Friday: Matt Garza (1-4, 5.88 ERA)

  • 2005(mnrs):4-4, 3.59 ERA, 75.2 IP, 89 K

  • 2006(mnrs):14-4, 135.2 IP, 1.99 ERA, 154 K

  • 2006: 26 IP, 30 H, 17 K, 10 BB, 3 HR

  • Three steps forward, one step back. In his last start, Garza struggled to throw his off-speed pitches for strikes and the Yankees eventually wore him down.

  • Watch the radar readings. When they’re under 90, is he throwing strikes? If so, he’s fine. If not, the Tigers will wait for the cheese (a fastball).

  • It seems that every game Garza starts he is hurt by Torii Hunter’s lack of range in CF. Every damn game. It’s uncanny.

Wednesday, September 06, 2006

Detroit Series Preview

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Detroit
Runs – 688 (7th)
Runs Against – 546 (1st)

Status Report: Everyone was waiting for the Tigers to fade, and to some extent, they have. They’re 9-17 since they last faced the Twins, and “just” 30 games over .500. Of course, that may have something to do with them waiting for the playoffs for the last two months. Their record still puts them on pace for 98 wins this year, is good enough for a four game lead in the AL Central, and gives them the best record in the American League.

What's Not Working

For months they’ve battled the notion that they couldn’t keep up this pace, in particular because they’re inexperienced starting pitching would fade. But as the season concludes, it is their hitting that is faltering, fueled partly by an injury to their second baseman. Sound familiar?

The Tigers have a couple of weeks head start on the Twins in this story, and that’s not a good thing. Some of Detroit’s bigger (and more expensive) bats struggled through August, which has resulted in an extended slump:

  • Ivan "Pudge" Rodriguez, previously hitting third, has been bumped down the lineup to the 6th position. For good reason. In August, he only hit .250, and didn’t compensate for that with any power (just 2 HR) or plate discipline (17 strikeout versus 4 walks). There’s no word of an injury, so he might just be wearing down as the season progresses, similar to what we’re seeing on the Twins.


  • Magglio Ordonez has struggled since the All-Star break, and like Pudge, it was made worse by a lack of power (though a home run this week may indicate that he’s bouncing back). Again, there’s no indication that an injury is the problem, but he’s also a 32-year-old who had major knee surgery just a couple of years ago.


  • Detroit needs to hope that this isn’t indicative of a long-term problem, since they owe him $45 million over the next three years. Plus another $33 million for two more years if he makes 135 starts in 2009. The lesson, as always, is that Scott Boras is Lucifer.


  • Coming into August, 25-year-old center fielder Curtis Granderson looked like the leadoff hitter for the next decade. But hitting .156 in August has lowered his production to the level of a fourth outfielder.


  • Detroit was applauded when they were the only AL Central team who improved themselves at the trade deadline, acquiring Sean Casey from the Pirates. But Casey is only hitting .247 since the trade with just two home runs.


  • Third baseman Brandon Inge’s hot hitting helped fuel Detroit’s hot start, but his power has completely deserted him and he hit just .156 last month.



Add all that up, and the Tigers, whose offense was unbelievably hot when they visited in May, have had only the 10th best offense in the American League since the All-Star break. That’s worrisome for a team heading to the post-season, and considering some of the ages of their better players (and how much more guaranteed money they have coming), it’s downright alarming.

What's Working

Obviously, not all the news has been bad, even lately. Craig Monroe has (finally) shown the power that the team anticipated, slugging 9 home runs since August 1st. Carlos Guillen has finally stayed healthy for a full year, hitting .310, slugging over .500, and continuing to produce down the stretch. Marcus Thames has finally fulfilled some of the promise that stat heads claimed he had, with 24 home runs.

Saying More Less

“But I would venture to say I say less to umpires than probably any manager in the league, and particularly at this time of year, I say even more less.''

- Detroit Tigers Manager, Jim Leyland

It’s hard to make your point to an umpire when you can only say “more less”. And Leyland made it harder still in last Thursday’s game versus the Yankees.

Leyland had a point he wanted to make after umpire James Hoye ejected him for criticizing a strike call in the Tigers half of the seventh inning. The inning finished up immediately following the ejection, and Leyland came out to argue his point.

Except that it’s the middle of the seventh inning in Yankee stadium, where Kate Smith’s recording of God Bless America is always played. And that’s proceeded by Yankees public-address announcer Bob Sheppard asking for a moment of silence.

So in the midst of arguing, Leyland honored the moment of silence. Then he listened to Kate. And then he resumed his argument.

“In my opinion, the umpire was trigger-happy. I didn't curse. I didn't do anything,” said Leyland.

“Obviously, I did after I went out there.”

But only after a respectful (and appropriate) patriotic pause. Saying more less, indeed.

On The Hill

Tigers: Justin Verlander (15-7, 3.27 ERA)

  • 2005 (HighA-AA): 11-2, 118.2 IP, 136 K, 1.29 ERA

  • 2006: 165 IP, 157 H, 112 K, 52 BB, 16 HR

  • With apologies to Jon Papelbon and Francisco Liriano, here’s your American League Rookie of the Year. And he still has to be considered a candidate for the Cy Young award, too.

  • See if any of this sounds familiar: the year after he was drafted in the first round, he started in A ball and was promoted quickly, ending up in the majors by the end of the year. The difference between Verlander and Matt Garza is that Verlander wasn’t forced into a pennant race last year.


Twins: Scott Baker (4-7, 6.55 ERA)

  • 2005: 3-3. 53.2 IP, 32 K, 3.35 ERA

  • 2006 (AAA): 5-4, 84.1 IP, 2.67 ERA, 68 K

  • 2006: 68.2 IP, 56 K, 92 H, 15 HR

  • How much does this guy love playing the Yankees? His high point this season was his April win over them, and his victory in the rain last Saturday might as well have been a baptism for the new life it breathed into his starting pitching hopes.

  • After Silva’s start on Wednesday, Baker will need to be impressive to remain in the rotation.

Twins Takes

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Sorry for the short entry today, but I was at my fantasy football draft last night and didn't get to see much of the game. Just a couple of quick notes:

  • The updates on Francisco “The F-bomb” Liriano are so frequent as to start blending together. (Is he throwing a simulated game without cleats today or is he playing catch at 120 feet in Rochester? I forget.) But while we know exactly how many pitches he’ll throw in his first start on Thursday the 14th, we don’t know who he’s replacing in the rotation.

    The answer isn’t obvious from the schedule. The 14th would have belonged to Boof Bonser, but I think it’s safe to say that he isn’t the odd man out. Carlos Silva and Scott Baker would seem to be the leading candidates, and between them they have three starts this homestand to show they deserve the last two starts. Also, reaplacing one of them would allow Matt Garza to be skipped on Monday the 18th, which will be the Twins last off day before playing 14 straight days to end the season.

    So watch those three starts. Silva and Baker aren’t just pitching for two more chances to pitch this year. Both of their future is up in the air for next year, and they’ll be trying to prove they belong in 2007, too.


  • The PTBNL (that's player to be named later) for Phil Nevin was named and traded. It's Adam Harben. To be honest, I was a little dissappointed, though on further reflection, maybe I shouldn't have been:

    - Harben hasn't been a top 10 prospect for the Twins.
    - He took a step backwards this year.
    - Two years ago, the Twins traded Doug Mientkiewicz for minor league pitcher Justin Jones. Tis is probably comparable. I would rank Harben as higher than Jones, but Nevin was also better to to get than Mientkiewicz, because he doesn't have any salary guaranteed for next year.

    I'm just not sure the Twins really got anything they needed from the Nevin trade, since I (still) think Rondell White will outperform him. So I would have been more comfortable giving up a little less.

    But what it does demonstrate is that Terry Ryan seems to recognize that this organization has some pitching depth, and can probably afford to overpay a bit for some help in the current year. That's a good sign going forward.

Coupla Twins Notes

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Sorry for the short entry today, but I was at my fantasy football draft last night and didn't get to see much of the game. Just a couple of quick notes:

  • The updates on Francisco “The F-bomb” Liriano are so frequent as to start blending together. (Is he throwing a simulated game without cleats today or is he playing catch at 120 feet in Rochester? I forget.) But while we know exactly how many pitches he’ll throw in his first start on Thursday the 14th, we don’t know who he’s replacing in the rotation.

    The answer isn’t obvious from the schedule. The 14th would have belonged to Boof Bonser, but I think it’s safe to say that he isn’t the odd man out. Carlos Silva and Scott Baker would seem to be the leading candidates, and between them they have three starts this homestand to show they deserve the last two starts. Also, reaplacing one of them would allow Matt Garza to be skipped on Monday the 18th, which will be the Twins last off day before playing 14 straight days to end the season.

    So watch those three starts. Silva and Baker aren’t just pitching for two more chances to pitch this year. Both of their future is up in the air for next year, and they’ll be trying to prove they belong in 2007, too.


  • The PTBNL (that's player to be named later) for Phil Nevin was named and traded. It's Adam Harben. To be honest, I was a little dissappointed, though on further reflection, maybe I shouldn't have been:

    - Harben hasn't been a top 10 prospect for the Twins.
    - He took a step backwards this year.
    - Two years ago, the Twins traded Doug Mientkiewicz for minor league pitcher Justin Jones. Tis is probably comparable. I would rank Harben as higher than Jones, but Nevin was also better to to get than Mientkiewicz, because he doesn't have any salary guaranteed for next year.

    I'm just not sure the Twins really got anything they needed from the Nevin trade, since I (still) think Rondell White will outperform him. So I would have been more comfortable giving up a little less.

    But what it does demonstrate is that Terry Ryan seems to recognize that this organization has some pitching depth, and can probably afford to overpay a bit for some help in the current year. That's a good sign going forward.

Monday, September 04, 2006

Links of the Day for 9/5/06

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One of the benefits of being on the east coast is the easy access to the great ball parks, whether it’s Camden Yards, PNC Park or Yankee Stadium, all are within an easy day’s drive. And Friday night I hopped on a bus from D.C. to Manhattan, and took in the last two games of the Twins-Yankees series this weekend and everything that comes with a visit to the House that Ruth Built. As a newcomer to Yankee Stadium, the Labor Day weekend provided me with everything I was looking for—tickets in the always rowdy bleachers, a ride on the subway, Monument Park, roll call, groundskeepers doing the YMCA and a Twins victory.

One of the most common of the Bronx zoo’s chants was that of “M-V-P” for Derek “the Captain” Jeter. Now, of course the hometown team is going to think that their favorite player is the most valuable, but does Jeter actually deserve the award? While I did enjoy the delicious irony of watching him strikeout each day with two outs and the tying run on second while the Yankee fans screamed their vote, his numbers seem to say he’s a legitimate candidate for the award. He’s second in the AL in win shares with 25, he’s sporting a line of .342/.421./486 for the year and he’s been playing his normal, “stellar” defense.

But is he the most valuable player in the American League? Now, you may chalk this up to being a homer, but I say no. I think that Joe Mauer is the choice for the award, dependant on two things—the Twins make the playoffs and Mauer starts hitting again. Despite his slump, he’s still out performing Jeter at the plate, racking up 26 win shares and posting a .346/.427/.498 line. He also plays a much tougher position defensively and plays it much better than Jeter does. Finally, Mauer is more valuable than Jeter is because he has less help around him. If you tally up the Win Shares for the rest of the Yankees lineup, you’ll find that they have accumulated 112, while the Twins lineup only has 93.

Of course, I wasn’t stupid enough to try and make this argument to the bleacher creatures, but hopefully the readers here are slightly more receptive.

And now, some Quick Links:

  • As Alexi Casilla found out in his first at bat the Yankees always seem to get the breaks. Of course, like a good Twin, he managed to overcome the Yankees’ advantage anyway.


  • If Boof and Baker continue to pitch as well as they have lately (and I know Baker only has 1 start since being called up), they could have a historically young playoff rotation.


  • The relatively new blog “Viva Rivas!” has an interesting take on the importance of the Main Stream Media


  • Finally, Wikipedia has a list of Bert’s other “incidents” as a color commentator.

Sunday, September 03, 2006

Links of the Day for Labor Day

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We sports fans spend an awful lot of time bitching and moaning about the men selected to describe ballgames on TV and radio. Entire websites are now devoted to cataloguing the supposed inadequacies of broadcasters from Joe Morgan to Joe Buck, and no sports blog worth its bandwidth ever seems able to go more than a week without taking at least a casual shot at some play-by-play man or other. Given all that, you would assume that the sporting airwaves must be filled with countless sportscasting fiascos, but in fact, most broadcasters actually manage to pull off a pretty professional show nearly all the time, even if we may hate the manner in which they do it.

Still, everyone can have a bad day, as Bert Blyleven found out at just about 12:03pm Central Time Sunday. For those who missed the beginning of today’s game on WFTC-TV, you may commence kicking yourselves immediately. (Actually, you’ll probably be able to find it on YouTube before too long. And by “before too long,” Intern Sam means “as soon as Intern Sam figures out how his video capture device works.”)

During the opening commentary just after the broadcast went on the air, Bert stumbled a few times while trying to keep up with a montage of video highlights and stats, and eventually fell hopelessly behind the video he was narrating. He then paused, and said, clear as day: “We’re gonna do this f*ckin’ thing over, ‘cause I just f*cked it up.” There was then another longish pause, during which several people in the production van probably went into cardiac arrest, and then Bert was heard to remark, “Oh, we’re live? I did not know that.”

To Bert’s credit, he apologized instantly, and actually apologized again after the next commercial break, explaining that the Twins’ broadcast team tapes many of its opens beforehand, and he had no idea that he was live on the air. (This in itself is a bit odd, since there must be a clock in the announcing booth, and it would stand to reason that if the announcing team is doing the open after the time the broadcast is scheduled to begin, the effing thing must be live. But whatever.) One would assume that Blyleven won’t face any disciplinary action from the team (though he was reprimanded earlier this season for making salacious comments about Paula Abdul) but anyone who knows anything about the television business will tell you that this likely won’t be the last we hear of the episode.

For the last two years, the FCC has been in heavy crackdown mode, issuing major fines against any station that airs indecent language, frequently even handing down fines in clearly accidental situations. Had Sunday’s Twins game been broadcast on FSN North, none of this would matter, since the FCC does not have the power to regulate content on cable networks. But the game aired on over-the-air station WFTC, and that means that the FCC, if it so chooses, could fine the station as much as $650,000 under new obscenity rules approved by Congress earlier this year. (That’s one $325,000 fine for each of Bert’s two derivations of the f-word, a tenfold increase from the old penalty.)

Further complicating the potential FCC situation is the fact that, while any fines would be levied against WFTC, the broadcaster who uttered the offending words works not for the station, but for the Twins. Would WFTC try to force the team to pay the fine? It’s a tough call, and one I’m sure the Twins and WFTC are both hoping they won’t have to make. (While the FCC has been merciless in its treatment of some offending broadcasts, it has also been wildly inconsistent, so it’s always possible that we’ll never hear of this again, particularly if the FCC doesn’t get any viewer complaints about the incident.) Anyway, most of Twins Territory probably doesn’t give a flying leap about any of this, so we’ll move on now, but the point is: Hee. Bert said f*ck. Twice.

  • LaVelle Neal thinks Terry Ryan will live to regret not trading a few youngsters for a veteran arm, and makes a pretty good case that acquiring help for the struggling rotation wouldn’t have necessitated the loss of a top prospect. The rotation is now well and truly in the tank, and even with the news that Francisco Liriano might be back as soon as next week, the Twins’ odds of keeping pace in the wild card race are looking pretty long, particularly if they struggle against the Tigers this week.


  • There’s been plenty of Morneau-for-MVP talk, but what about Gardy for manager of the year? (Now, there’s a notion sure to be popular with readers of this site.) And how long will it be before baseball just starts letting ESPN hand out all its postseason awards to the Yankees?


  • Speaking of ESPN, they’re apparently coming dangerously close to a major crisis…


  • In case anyone cares, the St. Paul Saints will be facing the Fort Worth Cats for the American Association championship this week.

Thursday, August 31, 2006

Get To Know: September callups

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Minnesota Twins acquire Phil Nevin (RH-1B) from the Chicago Cubs for a Player To Be Named Later (PTBNL)
Minnesota Twins announce they will call up Scott Baker (RHP), Chris Heintz (RH-C) and Alexi Casilla (2B-SH)

As is often the case, one of these moves is going to get most of the attention, and it's the wrong one. Nevin is a good clubhouse guy who is limited defensively, supposedly can provide a productive right-handed bat as a designated hitter, but is hitting just .214 in the American Lea -- hold it, don't we have one of those already?

So why would the Twins go out and acquire another Rondell White? Well, most importantly, the price was probably right. But having Nevin also means there is a right-handed bat with some pop on the bench, whether White or Nevin is the designated hitter.

That's of value for two reasons. First, while we love the Piranhas, there are times you might want to replace one with someone who can go yard. Secondly, with Luis Castillo hurt, Luis Rodriguez will likely be pressed into duty at third base, and he's really only of use on the left side of the plate. White or Nevin can replace him late in a game for a high value at-bat, and then the Twins will play, well, umm, someone probably. Cuddy, better warm up that glove...

The bigger story is the recall of Scott Baker. A couple of days ago, we detailed why including him in the rotation should inspire some hope, but I'll list one more reason why this is a good idea; the Twins need to sort through some of these guys for 2007. Next year, they're losing Brad Radke, they'll have a four million option on Carlos Silva, and they'll likely be wondering if they can count on Francisco Liriano. That sounds a lot like a recipe for doing something silly, like picking up Silva's option, or committing money toward some Hell(ing) - ish contracts. It would be nice to know if they can count on an in-house option.

Baseball wonks may make a big deal about calling up Chris Heintz, because that will supposedly allow Joe Mauer to DH more, but it's a move that's about two months too late. I'd love to talk about how this allows the Twins to significantly upgrade the DH spot with Mauer because Jason Kubel has been so horrific lately, but Mauer has been equally horrific. Besides, right now, when Mauer isn't catching, he needs to heal.

And finally we get to Alexi Casilla, who I readily admit, I'm WAY to excited about. Casilla hit around .300 from both side of the plate, drew just about as many walks as strikeouts, and stole 50 bases in 60 attempts. OK, it was between High A and Double A ball. What can I say? I'm a sucker for speed freaks.

That's it for this week. We'll see you on Monday.