There aren't a lot of good reasons to be a blogger. The pay is nonexistent. The daily appetite of readers is constant. You’re competing in a wide open market for attention without any outside promotion. You're the butt of every joke established media can dream up, and members of the organizations you promote seemingly go out of their way to provide barriers. Hmmm. Let me revise that first sentence.
There is really only one good reason to be a blogger, or, as they were called before weblogs, an independent writer. It's the independent thing. You get to write what you want when you want to write it. You get attention on your own merits. And you can take as many risks as you want without needing to worry about everything you're going to lose. Because, frankly, you don't have a damn thing to lose.We’ll start with the AL standings, but rather than just look at the wins and losses, we’ll see how each team is doing by runs scored and runs against. This is as of midnight:
EAST | GB | Runs Scored | Runs Against | Run Differential |
Tampa Bay | - | 160 | 85 | 75 |
NY Yankees | 1 | 151 | 96 | 55 |
Toronto | 5 | 140 | 125 | 15 |
Boston | 6.5 | 139 | 144 | -5 |
Baltimore | 13.5 | 97 | 144 | -47 |
CENTRAL | GB | Runs Scored | Runs Against | Run Differential |
Minnesota | - | 149 | 106 | 43 |
Detroit | 3.5 | 139 | 135 | 4 |
Chicago Sox | 7 | 118 | 139 | -21 |
Kansas City | 8 | 113 | 148 | -35 |
Cleveland | 8.5 | 95 | 134 | -39 |
WEST | GB | Runs Scored | Runs Against | Run Differential |
Oakland | - | 126 | 122 | 4 |
Texas | 0.5 | 122 | 116 | 6 |
LA Angels | 3 | 112 | 155 | -43 |
Seattle | 3 | 91 | 103 | -12 |
What do I think?
I think Oakland or Texas is going to find themselves in the postseason. By default.
But I'll readily admit, I sure didn't think that four weeks ago, so stay tuned.
I had picked the Angels to win the division, because they won 97 games last year, distancing them from the second place Rangers by 10 games. This year they are only 2.5 games back in the standings, but they've already been outscored by 41 runs. That's the second worst differential in the league, ahead of only the 7-21 Orioles. Forget the Red and White Sox - this is the most disappointing team in the American League.
Don't get me wrong - I still don't think they are quite this bad, but they aren't going to compete, and they aren't even going to finish second in this division.
Their pitching is going to get better. There is no reason that staff and that bullpen should be giving up over five runs a game, except – OK, there is one reason. And it may be the critical error GM Kenny Williams and manager Ozzie Guillen made in compiling this team this offseason.
What do I know?
I know the Red Sox don’t matter.
The national media wants to talk about the Red Sox’ demise because the Rays and Yankees, two excellent teams, already have sizable leads over them. That’s not the problem. The problem is that the Red Sox aren’t a very good team. They’re a .500 team, and that’s not going to be good enough in that division. Just ask Toronto, who has played that role for years.
May 14-16 @ NYY
May 25-27 vs. NYYJune 18-20 @ PHL
July 1-4 vs. TBAugust 1-4 @ TB.
Do those series mean everything? No, but they mean something. This team needs to prove that they’re more than first round fodder to the big guns in the AL East. That was abundantly clear as gaffe after gaffe caused them to cough up games last October.
A couple of weeks ago I suggested that the Twins might hold a seven game lead in the division by the time they go on next week’s killer road trip. That's no longer likely to happen, but if it wasn't for that epic meltdown in Game 2 of last week's Detroit series, they would be well on their way.
But that run differential column shows me what Detroit's record doesn't: they are a mediocre team. While I'm willing to concede that their pitching will improve, their lineup is going to hold them back. Beyond their top four hitters, there is nothing to fear in that lineup. And even Magglio Ordonez and Miguel Cabrera will lose some firepower once Austin Jackson comes back to earth.
More TwinsCentric...
- Seth discusses the misdiagnosis of Pat Neshek's "Finger" injury.
- Nick thinks the Twins should be looking to trade Wilson Ramos.- Seth will be on KFAN today (thursday) with Paul Allen around 9:15.
- And don't forget the TwinsCentric and Twins blogger get-together on May 15th at Major's in Bloomington. I'm so excited about laying a beat down on the Yankees in their ballpark I might fly too close to the sun myself.
5 comments:
It's over? I disagree. On paper it looks good for the Twins. On paper the Twins are the superior team. On paper they have the best lineup. But injuries happen, slumps happen, and well the games are played on the field by human beings, they still need to get it done. I think we have a good chance but it most definitely isn't over, it's May and as of 3 days ago we had a 1/2 game lead?!?!
I'll remember this as the jinx that killed the Twins 2010 season
Interesting definition of "prove." I'm reminded of the bumper sticker that says, "Don't believe everything you think."
If Mauer, Morneau, Span, Liriano, or maybe even some of the lesser lights goes on the 60-day DL, I'm coming for you. Well, no. But seriously, John, maybe copying that other guy's format wasn't such a great idea...
Geek -
What you ought to know is that run differentials one month into the season are meaningless. In fact, I think you do know it. One of the great things about being a blogger is no one will remember what you wrote unless you remind them of it.
Definitely not one of your better posts. To call the AL Central over at the beginning of May is ridiculous.
Also a little too early to count the Red Sox out as well.
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